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wolf550e
on Sept 2, 2011
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A History of Bayes' Theorem
The "1 in 100,000" silliness was noticed by Feynman and has nothing to do with Bayes, it was just PHB-thinking.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogers_Commission_Report#Role_o...
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogers_Commission_Report#Role_o...